The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a tropical wave in the central Atlantic that could develop into a storm as it moves toward the Caribbean next week.

In its latest Tropical Weather Outlook, issued Thursday afternoon, forecasters said the system is moving westward at 25 to 30 km/h and could begin to show signs of development by midweek once it reaches the central Caribbean Sea.

While no formation is expected in the next 48 hours, the system has a 20 percent chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next seven days.

The update comes during what has been a relatively quiet Atlantic hurricane season in terms of impacts on populated areas.

While several named storms have formed, few have made landfall or caused significant disruption.

Storm Lorenzo, which had briefly reached tropical storm strength earlier this week, dissipated Thursday morning in the mid-Atlantic south of the Azores.

As of mid-October 2025, the Atlantic hurricane season has produced 12 named storms, including Hurricane Erin, which briefly reached Category 5 strength. This places the season slightly below average in terms of total storm count.