Ireland is set to experience unsettled weather through much of the next week under a west to south-west Atlantic airflow.

Showers or rain are expected on most days, occasionally accompanied by fresh to strong winds. Ensemble forecasts indicate rainfall on most days up to mid-November, while slowly rising air pressure points to the possibility of calmer, more settled conditions after mid-month.

Hurricane Melissa, which has caused at least 25 deaths in Haiti and widespread damage across Jamaica and Cuba, is weakening as it tracks northeast across the Atlantic.

By later this weekend the system will downgrade to an ex-tropical storm. Early next week it is likely to be situated between Ireland and Iceland, with no indication it will directly interact with the jet stream or pose a storm threat to the country.

The UK Met Office says Melissa will evolve into a “fairly typical autumn low-pressure system” next week.

Deputy Chief Meteorologist Tom Crabtree said: “Late on Sunday and into early Monday, a low-pressure system containing the remnants of what will then be ex-Hurricane Melissa will move across the far northwest of the UK. This appears to be a fairly typical autumn low-pressure system, introducing some milder air and bringing further spells of rain, heaviest over western hills.”

The chance of a named storm affecting Ireland next week remains low, but showers and occasional strong winds are likely across the island.

The red line in ensemble model forecast below shows the central trend, indicating ongoing wet and windy conditions, with potential for calmer weather after mid-November as air pressure rises.