Met Éireann Predicts Calm and Warm Spell for Early August

Met Éireann’s latest long-range forecast suggests that high pressure will be the dominant weather feature over Ireland for much of August, bringing largely settled and drier-than-average conditions for the next three weeks.

While there is the potential for some unseasonably wet and windy weather on the August Bank Holiday Monday (August 4th), the national forecaster expects a shift towards more stable conditions shortly after. From Tuesday onwards, high pressure is set to build, ushering in calmer, drier weather with temperatures slightly above the seasonal norm.

Week-by-Week Outlook

• Week 1 (August 4–10): After a potentially unsettled start to the week, conditions are expected to stabilise as high pressure takes hold. Rainfall is forecast to be below average across the country, and temperatures will likely remain a little above normal for early August.
• Week 2 (August 11–17): The settled theme looks set to continue, with high pressure maintaining a firm grip on Ireland’s weather. The forecast points to a continuation of dry and slightly warmer-than-average conditions nationwide.
• Week 3 (August 18–24): Although the influence of high pressure is expected to weaken somewhat, it will likely still be the dominant feature. Most of the country will experience drier-than-average conditions, though rainfall totals in the northwest may return to near-normal levels. Temperatures will continue to trend slightly above average.
• Week 4 (August 25–31): Confidence in the forecast decreases towards the end of the month, but early indications suggest a gradual return to more unsettled conditions. Rainfall will vary regionally, with the west and north expected to remain drier than normal, while other parts of the country may see average precipitation. Temperatures are likely to stay marginally above normal.

The long-range outlook offers a hopeful window of summer weather across much of the country, particularly through the first half of August. However, Met Éireann cautions that confidence in these extended forecasts naturally diminishes further into the month.